Economic Reality in Thailand and Soi 4

Economic Reality in Thailand and Soi 4

05/03/2023
Clarifying Ongoing Rumours About Silom Soi 4
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For more than two decades, there has been recurring speculation that Silom Soi 4 is about to be sold, closed, or redeveloped. These rumours surface regularly, often without context, and tend to create unnecessary uncertainty among patrons, tenants, and the wider community.

It is important to clarify the situation accurately and realistically.

All Property Is Technically for Sale — Context Matters

Like any street, business, or private asset anywhere in the world, Silom Soi 4 could theoretically be sold at the right price. This does not imply intent, urgency, or imminence. All property and businesses are, in principle, for sale if the price and conditions are acceptable to the owners.

What matters is not whether a sale is theoretically possible, but whether it is practically viable under current conditions.

Ownership Structure and Practical Constraints

Over time, ownership of the land that makes up Silom Soi 4 has been inherited by more than 12 different individuals. As a result, there is no single decision-maker or controlling owner of the street.

Any potential sale or redevelopment would require:

  • Broad consensus across multiple owners

  • Agreement on valuation, timing, and structure

  • Alignment on long-term use of the land

This structure alone significantly reduces the likelihood of any rapid or urgent transaction.

Economic Reality in Thailand and Globally

Even if ownership alignment were achieved, any meaningful redevelopment of Silom Soi 4 would require:

  • A very large capital investment

  • Substantial third-party financing

  • Long development timelines with elevated commercial risk

In the current environment:

  • Central Bangkok is experiencing a significant oversupply of commercial space

  • Financing costs remain elevated

  • Global investment sentiment remains cautious

  • Many projects commenced prior to COVID are still incomplete or underperforming

Under these conditions, large-scale redevelopment is widely regarded as economically unattractive and difficult to justify.

Construction and Labour Constraints

Practical delivery considerations further complicate any potential project:

  • Ongoing nationwide construction and repair works continue to absorb labour

  • Recent seismic activity has increased demand for structural and remedial construction

  • Regional border disruptions have reduced the availability of cross-border labour, particularly from Cambodia

Even with funding in place, executing a project of this scale would face material operational challenges.

A Profitable and Fully Functioning Street

Silom Soi 4 today remains:

  • Highly popular

  • Largely fully leased

  • Commercially resilient relative to many other tourism-focused areas

From an ownership perspective, the street continues to generate stable income with comparatively low risk. This materially reduces any incentive to pursue speculative redevelopment under current market conditions.

Signals From the Market

In 2025, rents across Silom Soi 4 were increased broadly in line with inflation. This is a clear indication that:

  • Owners are focused on ongoing income, not urgent exit

  • There is confidence in continued demand

  • There is no indication of near-term disruption or closure

The Practical Conclusion

While it is always possible that individual owners may choose to sell their interests at some point in the future — as is the case with any property — there is no urgency, no confirmed plan, and no economic driver compelling a near-term sale or redevelopment of Silom Soi 4.

The street has been the subject of similar speculation for more than 20 years, yet it has continued to operate, evolve, and remain one of Bangkok’s most established and commercially active entertainment precincts.

Based on current ownership structure, market conditions, financing realities, and construction constraints, any large-scale change would require circumstances that do not exist today.


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